New Eurozone Debt Crisis?

by Laura Ehrenberg-Chesler on February 15, 2017

in Bonds,currencies,Debt,Foreign Markets

From Stratfor Geopolitical research:

As they look at the turbulence ahead in 2017, European policymakers are watching the eurozone’s bond market with concern. A selloff in government bonds, following the trend worldwide, is adding stress to its already vulnerable economies, especially in Southern Europe. Officials’ concerns are magnified by the uneven pace of the eurozone selloff, which is more rapid for bonds from some members than for others. The resulting spread (differences in yield) between Italian and German bonds, for example, has reached levels not seen since 2012, when a sovereign debt crisis nearly brought the currency union crashing down.
That debt crisis exposed the existence of a “doom loop” created by the tendency by European banks to hold their home government’s debt. The vicious circle of the doom loop could start with markets losing faith in a government’s ability to pay back debt, precipitating a selloff of its bonds. The resulting drop in bond prices would hit the balance sheets of the banks that hold them, making them more likely to need a bailout from their government. This, in turn, could depress investor confidence further, leading to more selloffs that further damage the banks. Despite the danger those practices pose, eurozone regulators have yet to find a way to sever the loop.”

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