More Established Economies Provide Bright Spot

by Laura Ehrenberg-Chesler on August 15, 2013

in equity market,Foreign Markets,Investment Strategies

For the first time in about five years the developed economies appear to be leading the world”s economies in providing much needed growth. And, the much celebrated emerging economies are taking a back seat as their growth moderates or slows. Japan, the U.S., and Europe are contributing more to the global economy, than the emerging nations.

From the

Momentum in the global economy is shifting to the developed world, away from

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the emerging economies that had led growth since the financial crisis.

For the first time since mid-2007, the advanced economies, including Japan, the U.S. and Europe, together are contributing more to growth in the $74 trillion global economy than the emerging nations, including China, India and Brazil, according to an estimate by investment firm Bridgewater Associates LP.

The turnabout may reshape world capital flows and upend forecasts that corporations had built around ebullient hopes for emerging markets.

Among forces driving the shift: a resurgent Japan that for years was a weakling of the global economy. Japan”s economy expanded 2.6% on an annualized basis last quarter, the government reported early Monday, slower than the revised 3.8% first-quarter pace but a meaningful change after years of stagnation.

The recovering U.S. economy has produced steady, albeit tepid, growth. And Europe”s economy is estimated to have expanded slightly in the latest quarter after a long recession, new reports this week are expected to show.

We think this will continue to have positive implications for the U.S. equity markets over the next 12-18 months.

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